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Terra Luna update

Russia/Ukraine crypto update #1

The situation between Russia, Ukraine and, by extension, the rest of the world continues to unfold, affecting all markets.

Crypto Banter by Crypto Banter
February 28, 2022
in Breaking News
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The situation between Russia, Ukraine and, by extension, the rest of the world continues to unfold, affecting all markets. That’s why we are going to ensure we give you regular updates on how the conflict is affecting the crypto markets specifically.

This is the first part in our new “Russia-Ukraine crypto update” series.

  • The Russian economy takes a blow as imposed sanctions start to take effect.
  • The world donates crypto to Ukraine.
  • Ukrainian and Russian citizens need Bitcoin.

As tensions grow, geopolitical relationships are being put to the ultimate test, with Russia’s foreign minister stating that US-Russia relations are “reaching the point of no return”. 

BREAKING: Russia's foreign ministry says relations with US are reaching the point of 'no return'

— The Spectator Index (@spectatorindex) February 25, 2022

And following a video call to other EU leaders, in which he reportedly told them “this may be the last time you see me alive”, Ukrainian President, Vlodomir Zelensky, posted a video for the world to see, in which he says that himself and others are ready to defend their country from the front lines.

https://twitter.com/brandonbeckham/status/1497270868174643209?s=21

SWIFT update

It has been a major talking point: Now, in an effort to undermine Russia’s leadership, European leaders have decided to ban Russia from SWIFT (Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication), the secure global messaging network that banks use to make cross-border payments.

We have taken decisive action tonight with our international partners to shut Russia out of the global financial system, including the important first step of ejecting Russian banks from SWIFT.

We will keep working together to ensure Putin pays the price for his aggression.

— Boris Johnson (@BorisJohnson) February 26, 2022

These sanctions are intended to, amongst other effects, stop Russia from being able to access and spend their assets held in international reserves, which come in at approximately $630bn.

Russia has $630bn in international reserves.

A big chunk of that is held overseas.

Western sanctions agreed tonight are designed to stop Putin being able to spend even a single rouble worth.

— Henry Foy (@HenryJFoy) February 26, 2022

Visa and MasterCard

As a result of sanctions, Visa and MasterCard payment cards from Russian banks will be reduced to useless pieces of plastic, and will no longer function internationally until the sanctions are lifted.

As of today, Visa and Mastercard cards of #Russian banks, which are under sanctions, will no longer work abroad.

— NEXTA (@nexta_tv) February 26, 2022

ATMS

Fears of a banking collapse are seeing Russian citizens flocking to ATMs to withdraw as much as they possibly can, causing massive queues around the country. Sberbank, the largest bank in Russia, has imposed a measly $20 withdrawal limit for its customers due to these bank runs.

Russians run from ATM to ATM to get cash amid panic as Russia’s currency crashes.

💰 https://t.co/vCmxiRBJgH#Russia #RussiaUkraineWar #UkraineUnderAttack #StandWithUkraine pic.twitter.com/I8i5R9HYx5

— Psychonaut (@WakingLifeDream) February 28, 2022

During the course of the weekend, Bill Ackman had called for such a potential major bank run taking place on Monday.

I wouldn’t want to keep money in a bank that can’t access the SWIFT system. Once a bank can’t transfer or receive funds from other banks, its solvency can be at risk. If I were Russian, I would take my money out now. Bank runs could begin in Russia on Monday. #StandWithUkraine

— Bill Ackman (@BillAckman) February 26, 2022

Ukraine is now calling for further sanctions against Russia, reportedly preparing to ask crypto exchanges to freeze Russian accounts.

Ukraine to issue legal demands on crypto exchanges to freeze Russian accountshttps://t.co/NdwKyCOsuF

— unfolded. (@cryptounfolded) February 28, 2022

Ruble crash

The Russian ruble has been decimated, falling to its lowest level in history. 

#Russia Ruble falls to the lowest level EVER. Plunged 40% to 117.8 per Dollar at one point after SWIFT sanctions against Russian banks. Restrictions on Russian CenBank target its access to >$600bn in reserves Kremlin has at its disposal, hindering its ability to support the ruble pic.twitter.com/Q9I1opzdFS

— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) February 28, 2022

Overall, the Russian ruble has lost 73% of its value against the US dollar since its peak in 2008.

The Russian Ruble has lost 73% of its value against the US Dollar since its peak in 2008.

Charting via @ycharts pic.twitter.com/UaQ3mxVKfO

— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) February 28, 2022

Russians buying USDT instead of USD

Centralized stablecoins, USDT and USDC, (as well as the algorithmically calculated and USD-pegged, decentralized UST) may be a better option for the citizens of Russia right now, compared to the US dollar, and definitely the ruble. Platforms with no KYC process might provide a potential on-ramp for Russians hoping to avoid a bank run, as well as guaranteeing cross border transfers.

As Ran put it:

In the next few days UST, USDT/C, may become really valuable on the peer-to- peer market (No Kyc). Many Russians and Ukranians are going to try and get as much as they can and particularly in Russia they will not be able to use any onramps that require KYC.

— Ran Neuner (@cryptomanran) February 28, 2022

Lex Moskovski even recommended that the Russian people buy USDT instead of US dollars, since there are no queues! 

https://twitter.com/mskvsk/status/1498178208868417536?s=21

Bank of Russia vs high APY-yielding DeFi protocols

The Bank of Russia has more than doubled its interest rates, hiking them from 9.5% to 20%, the highest since 2017, in a desperate bid to stop the nation’s assets from taking a trip to the West, while incentivizing people to instead deposit more cash.

The drastic decision means that Russia is now offering an APY comparable to Anchor Protocol!

How much would the Bank of Russia have to pay you in interest to buy its debt right now?

I imagine a lot of people would balk at 20% https://t.co/WD0vPNCP1X

— Alex Gladstein 🌋 ⚡ (@gladstein) February 28, 2022

The battle for Kyiv continues

While Ukrainian forces have successfully held off Russian troops so far, Russia remains determined to take the capital of Ukraine, Kyiv, by force, with Altcoin Psycho suggesting such an event would trigger a liquidation cascade across crypto markets. 

Black Swan market crash if Ukraine loses control of Kyiv IMO

cascading liquidation type event

— Psycho (@AltcoinPsycho) February 28, 2022

Russians citizens embracing bitcoin 

Russians are ditching their rubles more for bitcoin, as evidenced by the fact that the amount of bitcoin traded in rubles just reached a 9-month all-time high.

Russians getting out of the ruble and into #bitcoin! https://t.co/L31QF70lTB

— Lark Davis (@TheCryptoLark) February 28, 2022

Ukraine benefiting from global crypto donations

On February 26th, the government of Ukraine’s official Twitter posted Bitcoin and Ethereum addresses, asking for crypto donations to support their resistance efforts. So far, thousands of unique donations have raised over $19m in just a few days.

Stand with the people of Ukraine. Now accepting cryptocurrency donations. Bitcoin, Ethereum and USDT.

BTC – 357a3So9CbsNfBBgFYACGvxxS6tMaDoa1P

ETH and USDT (ERC-20) – 0x165CD37b4C644C2921454429E7F9358d18A45e14

— Ukraine / Україна (@Ukraine) February 26, 2022

Bitcoin vs Ethereum

As of February 27th, the USD value of ETH and ERC-20 tokens donated to the official addresses surpassed the amount of BTC.

However, a disclaimer: the volume of ongoing donations is constantly changing the figures.

Very interesting. The Ethereum address posted by the @ukraine account, which Bloomberg confirmed is legit, has taken in far more money than the Bitcoin one.

$4.1 million worth of ETH and other tokens vs. ~$1.1 million of BTC. https://t.co/k6OSsaFxqV pic.twitter.com/spjxb0dFmh

— Joe Weisenthal (@TheStalwart) February 27, 2022

Gavin Wood is in the hood

Gavin Wood is keen to get involved, offering to personally donate $5 million worth of DOT if

the Ukrainian government provides a Polkadot wallet address.

If you post a DOT address I'll personally contribute $5m.

— Gavin Wood (@gavofyork) February 27, 2022

Ethereum creator, Vitalik Buterin, has been open in his condemnation of Russia. On February 26th, he retweeted a UkraineDAO post and prompted his followers to donate 

An opportunity to support Ukrainians here! Proceeds go to civilian efforts helping Ukrainians suffering from the war. https://t.co/GD7Qlw61nT

— vitalik.eth (@VitalikButerin) February 26, 2022

A whale donates to the cause

A single donor has transferred $1 million worth of bitcoin to help support Ukraine.

JUST IN: 🇺🇦 Ukranian Government received $1 million worth of #Bitcoin from a single donor today. 🤯

— Watcher.Guru (@WatcherGuru) February 27, 2022

Binance donates

As tweeted by Binance CEO, CZ, the company has now donated $10 million to help the crisis in Ukraine.

#Binance is donating $10M to help the humanitarian crisis in Ukraine & @BinanceBCF launched the crypto-first crowdfunding Ukraine Emergency Relief Fund. 🇺🇦

Our focus is providing on-the-ground support. We just care about the people.

➡️ https://t.co/2vLFFbf5ac pic.twitter.com/vNSo9F3x7i

— CZ 🔶 BNB (@cz_binance) February 27, 2022

What other influencers are saying

Scott Melker, aka The Wolf Of All Streets, put it well: that citizens caught up on both sides of the conflict need bitcoin!

Ukrainian’s need #Bitcoin. They’re being cut off from their banking system, credit cards are not working, they’re at risk of losing everything.

Russian citizens need #Bitcoin. Their banks are being cut off from SWIFT, rendering their accounts useless.

There’s a better way.

— The Wolf Of All Streets (@scottmelker) February 26, 2022

Guy from Coinbureau also put things into perspective, advising world governments to follow in the footsteps of Ukraine and adopt crypto sooner than later.

He also points out an interesting contradiction:

We are only 2 months into this year and already we have seen:

1. A government attempt to freeze crypto donations
2. A government asking for crypto donations

Only one of these two are possible. Other countries should take note & follow Ukraine's lead. You don't have to fight it

— Coin Bureau (@coinbureau) February 27, 2022

Banter’s take

It seems as if there’s nothing else going on in the global news cycle, which is why we’ll be bringing you daily updates for as long as this crisis continues.

The world is a scary place right now, and markets are rightly nervous. Nonetheless, our current working thesis is that risk-on is back on, and crucially, the case for decentralized money will emerge from this conflict stronger than ever.

Tags: BTCETHPolkadot (DOT)
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